Showing posts with label poker bluffing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label poker bluffing. Show all posts

The 5 Best Poker Bluffing Hands (Skyrocketed My Winnings!)

Bluff With These 5 Poker Hands (Skyrocketed My Winnings!)

This article was written by blackrain79.com contributor Fran Ferlan.

Bluffing is arguably the most exciting part of no-limit Texas hold’em. 

There’s nothing quite like the rush of pushing your opponent out of a huge pot while holding absolute air. 

However, it’s also one of the aspects of poker that players tend to struggle with the most. 

They either run huge ill-advised bluffs in spots they shouldn’t, or don’t bluff nearly enough, which makes them overly predictable and unable to get paid off once they actually do get a monster hand.

No matter which side of the spectrum you’re tilting towards, this article will help you make more efficient bluffs and make more money at the poker tables.

It will cover the 5 best bluffing hands in no-limit hold’em, why they’re so efficient, and what to look out for when playing them.


1. Ace-Jack


Ace-Jack is not a premium hand by any means. 

Equity-wise, it’s a significant underdog against premium pocket pairs like Aces or Kings, and is dominated by stronger Ax holdings like Ace-King or Ace-Queen.

Examples:

A♥️J♣️ is 29% to win vs K♠️K♦️ before the flop

A♥️J♣️ is 24% to win vs A♠️K♦️ before the flop

Not exactly great odds!

A lot of players tend to overplay this hand, only to find out their hand has been dominated all the way through the hand when they get to showdown. 

However, Ace-Jack is still a pretty versatile hand, and can still be one of your long-term winners, even if you miss the flop with it completely (which will happen more often than not.)

Ace-Jack is not a hand that you can often play preflop as a value hand. You can only bet a hand for value if you believe you’re comfortably ahead of a large part of your opponent’s calling range. 

While Ace Jack can be a value betting candidate in single-raised pots, it doesn’t really fare too well if you encounter a 3-bet, as there aren’t too many hands your opponents could 3-bet with that Ace-Jack is ahead of. By the way, a 3-bet preflop is simply a raise against another player’s open-raise.

So if you face a 3-bet when holding Ace-Jack, you should tread carefully. This is something that is discussed in much more detail in Modern Small Stakes by the way.

It doesn’t mean you should necessarily fold automatically, but you should be aware that players don’t usually 3-bet with hands weaker than Ace-Jack (unless they’re bluffing, of course.)

That being said, Ace Jack is a great 3-bet bluffing hand on its own, especially if it’s suited. You can even throw in an occasional 4-bet bluff with it, as well.

Ace-Jack Bluff Example


You have A♥️J♥️ and open raise it from the button

A loose and aggressive reg 3bets from the big blind  

You should 4bet here on occasion here to balance your range and keep them guessing.

By the way, if you just want to learn my simple no BS system for exactly what hands to play, when to bet, raise and bluff, I cover this in extensive detail in my brand new training program, Play Fearless Poker.

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What About Blockers? And What Are Blockers Again?


The other reason why is because Ace-Jack has good blocker power. In poker, a blocker is a card that decreases the likelihood of your opponent holding certain hole cards. 

If you hold an Ace in your hand, for example, you decrease the number of combinations of pocket Aces in your opponents range from 6 combinations to only 3 combinations. 

So Ace-Jack significantly reduces the number of strong value hands in your opponents range, namely the pocket Aces, pocket Jacks, and Ace-King. 

This means that your opponent is more likely to fold to your 3-bet. 

Even if your 3-bet gets called, not all is lost, as you still have a significant chunk of equity post-flop. You can often make the nut straight and flush combinations with Ace-Jack, and hopefully take down a huge pot. 

More often than that, however, you’re usually going to flop a pair of Jacks or Aces. 

If you flop a pair of Jacks, you’re often going to have a top-pair top kicker hand, and if you flop a pair of Aces, a top-pair, decent kicker. 

Also, if your opponent called your 3-bet, you’re going to see the flop with the range advantage, meaning you can keep applying the pressure postflop, whether or not you actually have a made hand.

(A range advantage means you theoretically have more strong holdings in your range than your opponent, as the last street’s aggressor is perceived to be the one with the strongest hand.)

Check out my complete step by step guide to 3bet pots by the way for much more on what to do on the flop.


2. King-Nine Suited


King-Nine suited is another speculative hand that isn’t strong enough to be a value betting candidate preflop, as it’s likely to be behind a lot of stronger hands, like KQ, KJ, and KT. 

However, it can be turned into a great 3-bet bluffing hand. 

Similar to AJ, a hand like K♦️9♦️ has the potential of flopping really strong straights and flushes, or straight and flush draws. 

This hand equity is very important when deciding to turn a certain hand into a bluff preflop. You don’t want to make a stone cold bluff with hands that have very little chance of improving post-flop. 

You want to choose hands that have something to fall back on if your preflop bluff gets called. The more hand equity a hand has, the more inclined you should be to play it. 

But instead of just flat calling with some speculative hands preflop, you want to throw an occasional 3-bet instead. 

The reason why is because you want to go to the flop as a preflop aggressor. 

This gives you a range advantage, and allows you to keep applying the pressure postflop with flop and turn continuation bets, whether or not you actually connected with the flop.


King Nine Bluffing Example


I have K♦️9♦️ and I notice a weaker player raise on the Button to $10. I will often make it $40 to go from the Big Blind here.

I expect to take it down a lot before the flop. And even if they call, I will just fire another bet off on the Flop and often take down the pot then.

I actually talked about this in more detail in my latest video.

  
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Of course, if you miss the flop completely, and it’s unlikely your opponents will actually fold to a c-bet, you’ll want to ease off the throttle a bit. 

Remember, bluffing is only profitable if your opponents actually have a fold button. With that said, K9s is a great 3-bet bluffing candidate, because it also has blocker power. 

A King in hand reduces the number of strong value hand combinations in your opponent’s range, namely pocket Kings and Ace-King. 

It also has fairly decent equity if your 3-bet gets called, as you’ll often flop a pair of Kings, or some sort of a drawing hand. 

The stronger your draw, the faster you should play it, meaning you want to bet and raise frequently, as opposed to checking and calling.

As I talked about recently, playing too passively is actually on of the biggest poker amateur mistakes that I see these days.  

Unlike AJs, however, you aren’t drawing to the strongest possible straight or flush, so more caution is advised. You don’t want to end up having only the second strongest hand.


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3. Ace-Five Suited


Ace-Five suited, as well as other small suited Aces (from Ace-Two suited to Ace-Four suited) make not only great 3-bet bluffing hands, but also occasional 4-bet bluffing candidates as well. 

A 4-bet being a raise against other player’s 3-bet.

Similar to the Ace-Jack suited, these small suited Aces have the potential of making monster hands like the nut flush, as well as occasional straights.

This means that small suited Aces have a lot of additional equity to fall back on if your 3-bet or 4-bet gets called.

I love small suited aces so much that I have written an entire article on how to play them effectively by the way.

And if you have followed me for awhile, then you know that hands like A♥️5♥️, A♠️4♠️ etc. are my favorite hands of all time to 4-bet bluff with.


Small Suited Aces and Flop SPR


Another advantage of playing small suited Aces aggressively preflop is that you will usually end up in shallow SPR pots postflop.

SPR or stack-to-pot ratio is a ratio between the pot size and your remaining stack size, and it determines how committed you are to the pot. 

If the SPR is small, like 3 or less, you’re automatically committed to the pot with a top-pair hand or better, and you should be willing to put the rest of your stack into the pot. 

Conversely, the bigger the SPR, the less committed you are to the pot. In 3-bet and 4-bet pots, SPR will usually be quite small.

So if you flop a pair of Aces, or a really strong draw like a nut flush draw, you should get the rest of your stack in the pot, as you’re likely to be ahead of a large chunk of your opponent’s range.

Even if you miss the flop completely, you can try to take down the pot with a standard c-bet if the flop texture is favourable (i.e. it’s a dry, uncoordinated flop that is unlikely to connect with your opponents calling range). 

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Ace-Five Suited Bluffing Example


You raise A♣️5♣️ and a TAG (tight and aggressive) player calls you in the blinds

Flop comes:

K♥️8♣️3♦️

The TAG checks

You should just make a CBet here because you will take down the pot right then and there fairly often. 

This is especially the case if they have a high Fold to Flop CBet which you can see on your poker HUD.

Small suited Aces also have the aforementioned blocker power, so they make it less likely your opponents are holding very strong hands like pocket Aces or Ace-King.

This makes small suited Aces great 4-bet bluffing candidates as well. 

Since a lot of players will only 4-bet really strong holdings like pocket Aces, Kings, and maybe pocket Queens and Ace-King, they’re likely to assume their opponents will do the same. 

So incorporating a 4-bet bluff in your arsenal can be very profitable, as you can win a pot even without having a strong hand. 

This is important as really strong hands don’t come around as often, so you can’t rely on them alone to be a profitable long term winner.

Occasionally winning a pot without a strong hand can do wonders to your bottom line. 

It will also make you more difficult to play against, as your opponents will have to think twice before 3-betting you with impunity. 

They will also be more likely to pay you off once you actually do wake up with a monster hand.

Remember, the more you bluff, the less fold equity (i.e., how often another player folds percentage-wise) you’re likely to have in the future, even against tight opponents. 

So you want to pick your bluffing spots carefully, and have something to fall back on (i.e. hand equity) if your bluff does get called. 

With all that in mind, small suited Aces are just about the best bluffing hands in no-limit hold’em, so always consider playing them aggressively, as opposed to just waiting to complete your flush. 

You’ll miss your flush far more often than not, and even if you do, there’s no guarantee your opponents will pay you off, as completed flushes are fairly obvious to spot, even to recreational players.

See Crushing the Microstakes for a much deeper analysis on this by the way and how to play your flush draws better.


4. Ten-Nine Suited


Ten-Nine suited is another great speculative hand you can occasionally turn into a bluff. 

As with other entries on the list, it has more than one thing going for it, namely the ability to make really strong straights and flushes.

This is one of the main reasons why I also love suited connectors and have an entire article on how to play them optimally as well.  

Unlike other entries on the list, however, you won’t always be drawing to the strongest possible combination, so exercise caution.

Still, T9 suited will often connect to the board in some way. Since it’s a middling suited connector, a number of different flop textures it can connect with is through the roof. 

Unlike the previous entries, it doesn’t have the blocker power, but it’s ability to connect well with a variety of different flops more than makes up for it. 

This means that you’ll almost always have some sort of hand equity to fall back on in case your bluff gets called. 


Ten-Nine Suited Bluffing Example


Say you decide to 3-bet bluff with T♦️9♦️ and this flop comes:

K♥️J♦️8♣️

Even though you don’t have a made hand, you have an enormous chunk of equity even against made hands. 

You have 4 outs to the nut straight, as well as a backdoor flush draw. Nathan talks about how to read your equity in spots like this in much more detail in The Micro Stakes Playbook.

Any Queen will also give you a straight, even though you have to discount them because they can also give your opponent a nut straight if they are holding Ace-Ten. 

That’s why I mentioned the need to be careful when playing these speculative hands, because they have the danger of making only the second best hands, which is the worst hand to have in poker.

Still, even with these tainted outs, you have a lot of equity against your opponent’s range. 

You also have the range advantage due to being the preflop aggressor, and this kind of flop interacts well with your perceived range. 

This makes a c-bet mandatory, and you will often win the pot outright with it with just Ten-high. Remember, you don’t have to worry about hitting your outs if everybody just folds.


5. Six-Five Suited


Six-Five suited is another speculative hand with the potential of making really strong combinations. 

The reason this hand is the lowest on the list is because it’s a lot more vulnerable to being dominated, (i.e. if you do end up making a straight or a flush, you run the risk of your opponents holding an even stronger straight/flush). 

It also has no blocker power to speak of, so even more caution is warranted when deciding to play it.

With that said, this article is about bluffing hands, not strong value hands, and in this regard, 65s can be a decent bluffing candidate. 

It also has some sort of hand equity to fall back on in case your bluff gets called, albeit less than other hands on this list. 

But another thing this hand has going for it that others don’t is the so-called deception value. 

This means that your opponents can’t easily put you on this exact hand. So once you do hit the flop hard, you’ll be able to extract value from a lot of weaker hands.

Having hands like this in your range is also one of my top ways to quickly improve your poker game by the way, because it will confuse your opponents.  

This means 65s can work as a so-called reverse bluff, where you want to make your opponents think you’re bluffing, when you’re actually holding a really strong hand.


Six-Five Suited Bluffing Example


If you 3-bet 6♥️5♥️ preflop and the flop comes:

7♦️4♣️3♠️

You have the nut straight, and if you’re playing against more observant opponents, they might assume the flop doesn’t connect well with your perceived 3-betting range. 

So if you fire off a standard continuation bet, they’ll figure you have plenty of air in your range, and call you down with hands like middle pairs (pocket Nines or Eights), overcards (like AQ or KJ), or even some backdoor draws.

You can just check their WTSD% on your poker HUD by the way to find out how often they will call you down.  

They might even raise you with some of these hands, which of course works great for you. Now, in most cases, you of course won’t be blessed with such a generous flop. 

On most other flops you miss with a hand like 65s, you won’t have plenty of room for improvement on future streets. 

And as mentioned previously, strong combinations like straights and flushes simply don’t come around often enough.

But in order to not become overly predictable, it pays to look for spots where you can turn a marginal holding into a bluff. 

You don’t want to do it too often, but doing so only now and then will keep your opponents guessing. 

Not only will you be able to win the pot outright, you’ll also be able to extract more value once you do get a really strong hand.


The 5 Best Hands to Bluff With (Summary)


These are some of the best bluffing hands in no-limit Texas hold’em poker. 

It’s not an exhaustive list by any means, and it’s more of a guideline of what actually constitutes a good bluffing hand.

Any good advanced poker strategy these days, needs to include a few of these hands to balance your range against other good poker players. 

Now, since all your bluffing attempts won’t always be successful though, it’s worth having something to fall back on once your bluff gets called, namely some sort of hand equity. 

That’s why it’s generally better to semibluff (i.e. betting and raising without a made hand, but with the possibility of improvement on future streets) than stone-cold bluffing (i.e. betting and raising with absolute air). 

All of these hands are therefore semi-bluffing hands, as you basically always have some sort of equity to fall back on. 

In practice, however, good spots to bluff will depend on a lot of other factors other than your hole cards themselves

Namely, the type of opponent you’re up against, the previous action, the history between players, just to name a few. So you have to take all these factors into consideration as well.

Remember, the goal of bluffing is to get other players to fold. If they fold way too often, it doesn’t matter what hole cards you’re holding. You can bluff them while holding two napkins in your hands. 

If they don’t ever fold, just don’t bother bluffing them at all. 

As with anything else poker, context is key, so make sure you have the complete story first, and treat your hole cards as an afterthought. Play the player, not the cards.

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Bluff With These 5 Poker Hands

Can You Win at Poker Without Bluffing? It Might Surprise You

Can You Win at Poker Without Bluffing?
People often ask me can you win at poker without bluffing and I think my answer is a little bit shocking to some of them.

Yes, you absolutely can win at poker without bluffing! In fact most big winning poker players actually do very little bluffing. Televised poker in particular tends to skew our perception of the game by hand picking a lot huge bluffs to show us.

But the truth is that most of the time people are not bluffing in poker anywhere near as much as you think and you absolutely can win at poker without bluffing. This is even more the case if you play online poker.

But there is of course a lot more to it than this, and in order to achieve the highest winnings possible in your poker games, you should work at least a few bluffs into your game plan.

Don't worry though because I am going to cover it all for you below in this article!


Do You Need to Bluff to Win at Poker?


So as I just mentioned, no, you absolutely do not need to bluff in order to win at poker. This is especially true at the lower stakes which is likely what you stakes you play.

My name is Nathan "BlackRain79" Williams I am the guy who is well known for having played millions and millions of hands at the lowest stakes online with some of the highest winnings in history.

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Now, I am going to let you in on a little secret. I am very, very rarely bluffing at the poker tables. Many people have found this out the hard way over the years.

Heck, I just don't even have the time to be bluffing you when I am playing on 10 or 20 other tables! So when I am betting big and raising it is usually because I have a big hand.

But still to this day people call me down all the time just to see it. This is the one time they are going to catch me in a big bluff they convince themselves. Nope, he has the nuts again!

You won't see me doing this for example very often:




And the reason why I don't bluff very much at these stakes in particular is because of what I just said, they love to call me down.

Why would I try to bluff a bunch of guys who just love to call me all day? I have literally made a career out of these guys.

So if I suddenly decided to start bluffing them then that would just be like lighting money on fire. Poker is all about reacting to what your opponents do.

If they are going to call me down like crazy, cool. Then I will just show up with the nuts every time when I am betting big.

Play money poker is the most extreme example of this. You should never, ever, ever, ever bluff in play money poker ever. Because they do not fold anything for any amount!

If on the other hand I am playing in a game full of weak players who fold too much, then I am going to be bluffing these guys all day. And you will encounter these games as you move up the stakes in real money games.

I think you catch my drift. It's all about adapting to the game you are playing in.

Most games at the lower stakes though (live or online) are full of calling stations. You don't want to be bluffing these guys.

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Don't Confuse a Continuation Bet With a Bluff


Now a point that trips a lot of people up is continuation betting. A continuation bet is when you raise before the flop and then "continue" your aggression on the flop with another bet.

You need to know that a continuation bet is NOT a bluff. A continuation bet instead is actually a standard play in poker that you should be making most of the time especially against a single opponent.

As I discuss in my poker strategy books, you should be continuation betting on the flop somewhere around 60% or 70% of the time. Against, some really, really weak/tight players you can even go higher than this sometimes.

So this means that a good portion of the time when I am betting the flop as the preflop raiser, I don't have much of anything on the flop, maybe ace high or a weak draw, sometimes nothing at all.


Example:

I have AJ♣

I raise preflop and a random opponent calls me in the blinds


Flop:

36♣T♠


Random opponent checks to me

I am continuation betting almost every time here!


The reason why this bet is not a bluff and you should be doing it often is because it is very profitable. Also, you need to remember that Ace high is often actually the best hand here.

Lastly, most people tend to give you too much respect as the preflop raiser anyways and fold too much on the flop. For instance, a lot of people will fold their pocket 4's or pocket 5's here when you bet.

This is just free money that you should always be picking up.


A Double Barrel Isn't Necessarily a Bluff Either


Another play that you might see me making at the poker tables a lot is a double barrel. This is when you raise preflop, continuation bet on the flop and then bet again on the turn.

If you don't know when you should be doing it (what opponents, what turn cards etc.), check out my double barrel cheat sheet right here.

Now most of the time when I am double barreling at the micros, I have the goods.

As I mentioned before, I am not screwing around at the lower stakes in particular. I know most of them love to call me down, so when I am betting, they are going to lose.

However, there are some occasions where it can still be a good idea to double barrel even when you only have a draw for example. And this is the case versus weak opponents.


Example:

You raise on the button with 98

A tight reg calls you in the big blind


Flop:

36J


Your opponent checks

You continuation bet


Turn:

A

Your opponent checks

You should double barrel!


This is an example of a hand where I am going to be betting again on the turn (even though I only have 9 high) a very large amount of the time.

The reason why is because the ace is a great scare card and my opponent has also shown weakness by checking to me again on the turn.

And to sweeten the deal even more, I still have the flush draw in my back pocket even if he decides to call my double barrel here on the turn.

So this is a slam dunk bet on the turn even though we are technically "bluffing."

As I talk about in The Micro Stakes Playbook you can also use tons of different HUD stats like WTSD% to find out which players are most likely to fold in a spot like this.

Bottom line though is I still don't even consider this to really be a bluff. It is simply a profitable poker play against the right players, on the right turn card.


Bet Big When You Have It - Don't Bluff the Calling Stations


The real key to success at the lower limits (either online or live) is value betting strongly and frequently with your big hands like top pair, two pair, trips, a straight or a flush.

A lot of people do the exact opposite though. They try to trap their opponents with these hands. I blame televised poker once again for this, giving people a distorted image of how poker works.

As we already discussed, you don't want to try and bluff a calling station. But you have to remember that the exact opposite applies as well!

That is, you never, ever, ever want to slow play versus a calling station. Because once again, they love to call. And you like money right?

This is one of the biggest mistakes that I still see so many people making at the micros in particular these days is just throwing away their money trying to slow play against calling stations.

So this is why when I hit a strong hand versus one of these players who like to call too much at the lower stakes I will often just go ahead and bet all three streets with it.

In other words, I will do the most painfully obvious thing in the world: Bet with my good hands.

It sounds so simple right? But many people try to complicate poker. There must be more to it than this they try to convince themselves.

They tell themselves that they need to play more tricky because that is how Daniel Negreanu plays on TV in heavily, heavily edited high stakes poker tournaments.

But this isn't how your $10 games on the internet play and you aren't Daniel Negreanu either. The way to beat the low stakes games that you play in is very simple actually.

I have made obscene amounts of money in these games (relatively speaking anyways, 6 figures+) by simply making the most braindead obvious plays over and over and over again.

Now of course not everybody is a calling station at the lower limits any more and you do need to adjust your game like I mentioned before versus some of the better aggressive players for instance.




However, one of the biggest keys to your success in most low stakes loose passive games is to just keep everything as simple as possible. And this means not bluffing very often and simply making the most obvious play possible with your good hands, bet them.


But I Just Love to Bluff!


Now some people might say, but Nathan, I just love to bluff so much, I get a thrill out of it, I can't control myself!

Ok cool. Believe me I get it. And this is actually a good thing. It will serve you well in higher stakes games where you need to out-think much stronger opponents and have lots more tricks up your sleeve.

But for now, if you are playing low stakes (which you probably are if you are reading this article), then you really have to cut most of this bluffing out of your game.

As I have mentioned all throughout this article you do not win at poker by bluffing a lot in most low stakes games. In fact you honestly do not need to bluff at all in most loose passive games.

And this is just part of the discipline and the ability to adapt that comes with being a strong poker player. You have to understand what kind of environment you are in and adjust to that.

As I often mention on this blog and in my books and poker YouTube videos, winning poker at the lower limits is actually pretty damn boring.

Seriously, it's mind numbingly boring at times. If you want to win that is.

There just isn't much you can do except sit around and wait for the nuts against many of these people. So if you want to win you need to control your urge to bluff so much.


Final Thoughts


So can you win at poker without bluffing? Well, to finally answer this age old question once and for all, the answer is yes, you absolutely you can win at poker without bluffing!

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In fact in most low stakes loose passive poker games you should actually do very little bluffing if you want to win at the highest clip possible.

Now there are a few situations such as flop continuation bets and double barrels which should definitely be a part of your game. But these aren't really even bluffs, they are just good poker plays.

The bottom line is that you need to value bet strong and frequently at the lower stakes with your good hands and keep the bluffing to a minimum. This is how you will have the most success in these games.

If you want to know how I quit my job over 10 years ago to become an online poker pro and travel the world, (while doing very little bluffing at all), make sure you pick up a copy of my free poker cheat sheet.


Do you think you can win at poker without bluffing? Let me know in the comments below!

Can You Win at Poker Without Bluffing?




How to Bluff the River Like a Poker Pro [2026]

Bluffing the River Like a Pro at the Micros
One of the best ways to increase your winrate at the micros is to become better at playing the river. The reason why is pretty simple. Bet sizes (and pot sizes) are higher on average on this street than on any other. Therefore, you stand to gain the most by mastering this street.

Most people at the lower stakes are reasonably good at value betting the river. Maybe they miss a little bit of thin river value here and there but this is not a critical error at these limits.

However, an area where most people still play well below optimal at these stakes is bluffing the river. More often than not they simply just don't do it enough. Or when they do, they pick the wrong spots.

So this article will be all about how to bluff the river like a pro at the micros. The biggest keys are doing it against the right opponents and on the right boards.

Let's get started!

By the way, if you're new to poker and you just want to know exactly what hands to play, grab my free poker cheat sheet.

Memorize the charts. Stop guessing. Start winning.


Always Be Playing the Player


As usual at the micros (or any stakes for that matter) the biggest key to most technical situations is understanding who your opponent is. I have talked about my 6 different types of regs at the micros before. And I have 3 more for fish as well.

However, this system is nowhere near perfect because every player has their own style of play and specific quirks. One TAG might play the exact same river situation differently than another TAG for instance.

This is why you have to dig deeper especially into the less commonly used HUD stats for a specific situation like this. However, the river is a bit unique because it can take an absolute mountain of data in order to get statistically solid information on someone.

This is why I am a big fan of the WTSD% (went to showdown) stat. It is a very simple measure of how often somebody goes to showdown. You don't need to have thousands of hands on somebody for it to be effective either. Typically 100 hands is good enough.

By the way, if you just want to learn my simple no BS system for exactly what hands to play, when to bet, raise and bluff, I cover this all in my brand new training program, Play Fearless Poker.

Memorize the charts. Stop guessing. Start winning.

My new Play Fearless Poker training program includes 12+ hours of advanced poker lessons, 100+ step by step example hands and "cheat sheets" below every single video.

If you're serious about taking your poker game to the next level, enroll today.


Get $100 OFF Use Code: 100OFF


Targeting Specific WTSD% Numbers


When I am looking at whether or not to bluff the river the first thing that I want to know is how likely is it to work against my specific opponent. I obviously do not want to target the calling stations who can't fold bottom pair to save their life.

So I use a very rough categorization such as the following:
  • WTSD% = 28 or more -- Do not bluff
  • WTSD% = 23-27 -- Bluff with caution. Depends on the board and situation
  • WTSD% = 22 or less -- Bluff them all day
Keep in mind that issues such as frequency (i.e., have I already bluffed them 3 times in the last 10 minutes?) can come into play as well. And of course the board and river card are massively important as I will discuss in a bit.

But overall, I am looking to avoid bluffing the players who are going to showdown in the high 20s or more, proceeding with caution against mid 20s players and bluffing a lot versus low 20s and below opponents.


Board Texture and the River Card


Another key component to bluffing the river is the composition of the flop, turn, and most importantly, the river card itself. Something that I talk about a lot in both of my books is perceived ranges.

In very general terms the perceived range of the preflop raiser is big broadway type hands and big pairs. And the perceived range of the preflop caller is more geared towards speculative hands such as suited connectors, suited aces and mid and small pairs.

So if you are the preflop raiser it is often not a good idea to be running a huge bluff on a board like this: 47962

On the flip side, if you are the preflop caller, you probably don't want to run a big bluff on a board that looks like this: AK88Q

Perceived ranges are not always accurate though (this is why they are called perceived). But there is some truth to them more often than not. And this is especially the case at the micros where your opponents will be the least creative.





Bluffing is All About Telling a Good Story


Not only should you try to stick to bluffing mostly on boards which hit your perceived range but you should also clearly be representing several strong made hands that you could easily have as well.

This is the crucial part of bluffing, especially on the river, that so many people often miss. A good bluff is essentially a well orchestrated lie. Imagine yourself in the interrogation room.

Does your story make sense given how you have played the hand up to this point? When your opponent looks at the board after you make your bluff can they think of multiple threatening hands which you could have?

If you can answer yes to both of these questions AND you are targeting the right kind of opponent (as outlined above), then there is a reasonably good chance that your bluff will be successful.

I talk about this in much more detail in my free poker cheat sheet.

Let's run through a couple of examples to hopefully illustrate all of this better.


Example #1 (6max)


Villain = Nit, 18/15/2, 4% 3Bet with a WSTD% of 21 

Hero raises preflop from MP with A9 and villain calls on the button

The flop comes,

K43

Hero bets,
Villain calls

The turn comes,

5

Hero checks,
Villain checks

The river comes,

Q

Hero???

Let's go through this hand each step of the way. We make a standard preflop raise with a decent suited ace in MP. We get called by a passive looking nit who has position on us.

His 3Bet is low for 6max at 4% so his hand feels a lot like some sort of small or mid pair here. He might have some sort of stronger ace that he doesn't want to 3Bet with from time to time. He might also have a suited connector or broadway type hand on occasion.

We catch a great flop for our perceived range and make a super standard CBet. When he flats on this board his hand looks even more like TT, 99, 88, 77 or 66 now. There are very few draws and it is fairly unlikely that he hit the king.

The 5 on the turn isn't really going to scare him if indeed he has one of those middle pair hands that we listed above. Therefore, we choose not to double barrel here. It definitely wouldn't be terrible though. It just depends on the player and any history.

When the river lands with a Q we pretty much have a mandatory bluff against this player. We can now represent several strong hands here such as AQ, KQ or even AK or KJ which decided to pot control the turn. We would play these hands exactly the same way.

This player does not like to go to showdown very often (WTSD% of 21). He will fold his TT, 99, 88, 77 or 66 a lot here. Easy bluff.


Example # 2 (Full Ring)


Villain = TAG, 15/12/3, 6% 3Bet with a WTSD% of 24

Villain raises preflop from MP and Hero flats on the button with 89

The flop comes,

K83

Villain bets,
Hero calls

The turn comes,

4

Villain bets,
Hero calls

The river comes,

A

Villain checks,
Hero???

So we flat preflop in position with a suited connector versus a decent looking TAG. Our plan is to try and flop something big or use our position to take the pot away.

We catch middle pair with a backdoor flush draw on the flop. We know that villain here is going to CBet pretty much his entire range on this board. Raising doesn't make much sense. But we are always calling.

The turn comes with a harmless 4 and we pick up a flush draw as well. So it is an easy flat again versus an aggressive TAG who could be barreling wide.

On the river villain checks on the ace. There are a few things here. The first thing is that we don't actually need to bluff. This is one of those clear cases of WA/WB (way ahead, way behind).

The large majority of the time here he has:

  • A king, a high pair or he backed into the ace. 
  • A complete airball double barrel that he decided to give up on. 

He will make the call very often with the former and insta-fold the latter. We are basically never getting called by worse so we should just always take the free showdown.

Just for the sake of argument though, even if we had nothing here (and therefore there was a point to bluffing), I would probably still decide against it. This is because of what we talked about before. The K and the A don't really hit our perceived range. It doesn't make sense for us to have these cards very often.

This player goes to showdown a reasonable amount of the time at 24% and appears to be a reasonably competent TAG as well. Therefore he is probably smart enough to sniff out an ill conceived bluff attempt like this even with something like QQ or JJ.


Final Thoughts


Making good bluffs on the river (and avoiding the bad ones) can make a big difference to your winrate at the micros. And it really isn't brain surgery either. 

The biggest key is simply understanding why you are making a bluff, or why you are deciding not to.

First things first, make sure you are making bluffs more often against the players who will actually fold. WTSD% is a great indication of this. Most fish will be the types who you want to avoid bluffing. The tight regs will often be the ones who you do want to bluff.

Secondly, and perhaps more importantly, be aware of what the community cards are and who they likely help in the hand. Also, if you do decide to make a bluff make sure that you can think of several value hands that you would play the exact same way as we saw in the first example above.

If you follow these simple guidelines, then you should be bluffing the river like a pro at the micros in no time. 

Let me know your thoughts on bluffing the river in the comments below. Do you have any tips that you would like to share?

Lastly, for my entire strategy, grab a copy of my free poker cheat sheet.

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bluffing the river

The Art of Bluffing at the Micros: When to do it and Why

The Art of Bluffing at the Micros: When to do it and Why
One of the oldest rules in the book at the micros is to "never bluff." So why would I write an article about bluffing at the micros then you might ask?

Well, because poker as we know it on the internet has changed a lot over the years and bluffing is now profitable against some opponents at these stakes.

Long gone are the days when literally every single player is incapable of folding anything. Many regs have long since realized that frequently finding the fold button (especially against other tight regs) is vital to their success at these stakes.

By the way, if you're new to poker and you just want to know exactly what hands to play, grab my free poker cheat sheet.

Memorize the charts. Stop guessing. Start winning.


How to Bluff the Regs


But the great thing about poker is that for every adjustment there is always a counter-adjustment. Many micro stakes players have taken this folding thing way too far and some of the better regs have taken advantage of this by being more aggressive and bluffing more.

This is something that I discuss in a new video where I run a huge bluff versus a good regular.



The prime target for these bluffs is a player type that I have discussed many times before, the "TAGfish." They typically have stats that look something like this:

Full Ring: 13/10/2 WTSD 22%
6max: 19/16/2 WTSD 22%

The first set of numbers is VPIP/PFR/TotalAF. If you are unfamiliar with what these mean go check out my mega article on HUD setup here.

Basically this player type is tight, fairly passive and doesn't like to stick large amounts of their stack in the middle without the nuts. We can notice this most especially by their relatively low WTSD% (went to showdown %).

The average is about 24% among regs according to my database. These players are the perfect opponent to run a big time bluff against on the later streets. I will go through a couple examples of how we can do this a bit later.

Here is an example of a pretty crazy bluff at the micro stakes by the way. You won't believe the result!


By the way, if you just want to learn my simple no BS system for exactly what hands to play, when to bet, raise and bluff, I cover this all in my brand new training program, Play Fearless Poker.

Memorize the charts. Stop guessing. Start winning.

My new Play Fearless Poker training program includes 12+ hours of advanced poker lessons, 100+ step by step example hands and "cheat sheets" below every single video.

If you're serious about taking your poker game to the next level, enroll today.


Get $100 OFF Use Code: 100OFF


How to Bluff the Fish


However, first I want to be really clear about something.

If you are table selecting properly at these stakes (a horse that I have beaten to death on this blog, in my books and elsewhere) then you should be running into a whole bunch of other bad regs who are calling stations and who you should not be bluffing very often. They will have stats that look something like this:

Full Ring: 13/10/2 WTSD 27%
6max: 19/16/2 WTSD 27%

As you can see the WTSD% is the crucial stat here once again. Even though this player type is only going to showdown 5% more often than their TAGfish counterpart this is actually a huge relative difference.

Every session we all face many close decisions on the later streets. Some regs just won't fold their small over pair, top pair or even their middle pair though. On the other hand, plenty of the weaker TAGfish regs frequently fold all of these hands.

This is where most of this 5% difference comes from. You don't want to be bluffing these calling station regs very often whose WTSD% is in the high 20's. Players who are in the low 20's though should be a prime target.

By the way, this is something that I talk about in much more detail in my new poker strategy book, Modern Small Stakes.

In fact the reason I wrote that book is to create the most comprehensive guide to player types ever created.

If you are table selecting well then you should also be playing with plenty of the standard SLPs (semi-loose passive) and fish at these stakes. These players of course don't fold anything at all. They will have stats that look something like this (Full Ring or 6max):

SLP: 27/8/1 WTSD 29% 
Fish: 52/8/1 WTSD 33%

You are simply not going to turn a profit trying to run a big bluff against either of these player types. You should almost never try to bluff these players on the later streets. It is often simply winrate suicide because they will call you down with any piece, even no pair hands on occasion.

So therefore, when bluffing at the micros, we should be squarely focused on the weak TAGfish regs who do not go to showdown very often.

Let's go through a couple examples of how this will work in practice:


Poker Bluffing Hand Example #1


Villain is a 13/10/2 TAGfish with a 22% WTSD

Hero raises from UTG with AQ♠
Villain calls from the BTN

The flop comes,

6♣67

Hero CBets,
Villain calls

The turn comes,

K♣

Hero???

We have all seen this position many times before. It is the classic double barreling spot against a weaker reg on a turn scare card.

When he calls preflop we put him on a range of mostly pairs trying to set-mine us and the occasional slow-played big ace or big pair.

Very few of these hands hit this flop hard and very few of them will be happy about seeing that king pop up on the turn either. Suppose we double barrel and get called on the turn though?

The river comes,

2

Hero???

This is a spot where you could think about firing another shell. It really looks like our opponent is probably hanging on with some sort of mid pair hand like 88, 99, TT, JJ or QQ.

Even if he somehow hit the king on the turn we can expect a player like this (22% WTSD) to think long and hard about folding it too if we can fire the third bullet here.

Unless he literally flopped the absolute nuts with 66 or 77 there is a good chance that we get a player like this to lay down the entire rest of his range.

I discuss this in more detail in my Texas Holdem cheat sheet.


Poker Bluffing Hand Example #2


Villain is a 19/16/2 TAGfish with a 22% WTSD, 75% Flop CBet, and a 60% Turn CBet.

Villain raises from UTG
Hero calls from the CO with 8♣8♠

The flop comes,

J♠62

Villain CBets
Hero calls

The turn comes 9♠

Villain CBets
Hero???

Here is another spot versus a weak reg where we could consider running a bluff. Once again we should ask ourselves what our opponent can have in a spot like this.

When he raises from UTG in a 6max game a tight reg like this is probably on a range of the typical 22-AA, AK, AQ, AJ and KQ. We can also see that this player follows up with another CBet on the turn fairly often at 60%.

However, we know that given this range and this board that he rarely has a nut hand. He would have to have exactly JJ, 99, 66 or 22 to feel extremely confident here.

Since this is another weak reg this looks to be a good spot to turn our hand into a bluff on occasion by raising.

I should mention that once again our actual hand value doesn't really matter that much because we are simply playing the player and his range here.

We know that he can't be very strong all that often on this board and that he often folds when faced with big pressure.

I should also mention that like the previous hand my plan is to fire a lot of rivers if called on the turn. When I find an opportunity to bluff like this I do not like to give up without firing the final shell as well.

This is because he is going to call our raise a lot on the turn with hands like AA, KK, QQ and AJ. A TAGfish reg like this though will often check all of these hands to us on the river unimproved and make a tough lay down if we can fire another substantial bet.

By the way, it is really important to understand ranges like this if you want to quickly move up the stakes in poker.

This is something I discuss in much more detail in my ultimate beginner poker cheat sheet.


Final Thoughts


Like I said before, my intention with this article was not to get you all to start bluffing up a storm against the typical regs that you find at these stakes.

This would be terrible for your winrate against most regs especially at NL2, NL5 and NL10. This is why I zeroed in on the very specific TAGfish player type who is relatively tight but typically won't put big amounts of his stack in the middle without a huge hand.

When pushed around enough though even these players will eventually adjust so it is important not to bluff them every single time in spots like this.

Many regs at these stakes will simply start spite calling you if they think that something fishy is going on. The key is to walk that fine line where it is just believable enough for them to keep letting you have it.

The old adage "don't bluff at the micros" is still mostly true these days especially at the lowest stakes.

However, hopefully this article helped show you that there are a few spots where you can boost your winrate against the right opponent in the right situation.

Lastly, if you want to learn how to start consistently making $1000 per month in low stakes poker games, make sure you grab a copy of my free poker cheat sheet.


Let me know what you thinking about bluffing in small stakes games in the comments below. Do you ever do it?

poker bluffing